Another year, another round of “Road to the Oscars.” Not to demean the event, but the Golden Globes have always been a warm-up for the Oscars to me. The Golden Globes are the first real indicator of who the favorite is in each category. In recent years, Golden Globes have bolstered their actual show by emphasizing comedy with hosts like Ricky Gervais and the Tina Fey/Amy Poehler tandem. Their show has been better than the Academy Awards for a while, and though that doesn’t quite make their trophy more meaningful, it does make tomorrow’s ceremony something to watch. Here’s why I’m watching:
- Seth Meyers will be hosting, and I’m eager to see if he touches or attempts to make any jokes about the sexual harassment culture in Hollywood that was revealed all through last year. It’s a very touchy subject, so a joke that doesn’t land could spell permanent audience-iciness making the show painfully awkward. I also think it will be awkward if he doesn’t address the subject at all. My guess is that he will start the show by making a serious statement on harassment and then try to move on. That’s the safe play.
- What’s the Best Picture favorite? I honestly have no idea at this point. While winning a Golden Globe for Best Drama has hardly guaranteed Oscar love in the past, I’m still curious as to what film will emerge from the pack tomorrow night with any momentum. The Best Drama nominees are Call Me by Your Name, Dunkirk, The Post, The Shape of Water, and Three Billboards. I can’t picture any of those being Best Picture, but if I had to guess, I would put my money on Dunkirk. Get Out has a serious chance coming out of the Best Comedy pack, but horror films and comedies never win.
- Best Actor in a Drama-Denzel versus Daniel Day-Lewis. It’s not set in stone, but my feeling is Best Actor comes down to two of the greatest actors of my lifetime. They’re both living legends, and will always warrant consideration. Day-Lewis is supposedly retiring (I’m not sure I believe him), and that bodes well for his chances. Awards love him anyways, but now on top of that, there’s the chance to award his swan song. For Denzel, there’s a feeling that he’s been overlooked (despite being nominated 7 times and winning twice). It stems mainly from the fact that he doesn’t win for his best performances. He should have won for Malcolm X. He should have won for The Hurricane. Maybe he should have won last year for Fences. Being snubbed, and the Oscars making amends is hardly unique to him (see Al Pacino’s career), but the point is, I could see them giving him the equivalent of a makeup Oscar for what is, by all accounts a mediocre film.
- Best Actress in a Drama-I’m all in on Frances McDormand. I believe her performance for Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri will see her all the way to the Oscar stage. I think she sweeps up during this awards circuit. That should start tomorrow night.
- Supporting-I’m less confident about my picks here. The thing with supporting is that the Golden Globes does tend to correspond with the Oscars and other award, at least, in these two categories. For now, I’m betting on Sam Rockwell for Three Billboards Outside of Ebbing, Missouri and Allison Janney for I, Tonya. They’ve been around for a while, and well-respected. This should be both their first times being nominated for Academy Awards though.
- All the Money in the World-The Hollywood Foreign Press gave a great deal of recognition to Ridley Scott and his production after having to replace their star actor (Kevin Spacey) at the last minute. I doubt that carries over to Oscars, but maybe Christopher Plummer gets a nod.
- Are the Hollywood Foreign Press’ snubs a sign of more to come? Blade Runner 2049 (though I personally dismissed it) was a major critical success. That translated to 0 Golden Globes nominations somehow. Why? I have no idea.
The 75th Golden Globe Awards broadcasts tomorrow, January 7, 2018, on NBC at 8 P.M Eastern Time.